{"id":34172,"date":"2018-07-06T08:00:43","date_gmt":"2018-07-06T07:00:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oxforditrc.wpengine.com\/?post_type=casestudies&#038;p=34172"},"modified":"2020-07-18T21:03:46","modified_gmt":"2020-07-18T20:03:46","slug":"national-infrastructure-commission-securing-britains-future","status":"publish","type":"casestudies","link":"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/casestudies\/national-infrastructure-commission-securing-britains-future\/","title":{"rendered":"National Infrastructure Commission: Securing Britain\u2019s Future"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; admin_label=&#8221;section&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;3.22&#8243; custom_padding=&#8221;0px||0px|||&#8221;][et_pb_row column_structure=&#8221;2_3,1_3&#8243; admin_label=&#8221;row&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.2.2&#8243; background_size=&#8221;initial&#8221; background_position=&#8221;top_left&#8221; background_repeat=&#8221;repeat&#8221; width=&#8221;100%&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px|||||&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;2_3&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;3.25&#8243; custom_padding=&#8221;|||&#8221; custom_padding__hover=&#8221;|||&#8221;][et_pb_text admin_label=&#8221;Text&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.2.2&#8243; background_size=&#8221;initial&#8221; background_position=&#8221;top_left&#8221; background_repeat=&#8221;repeat&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: large;\"><strong>We are working with the UK\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nic.org.uk\/\">National Infrastructure Commission (NIC)<\/a> to provide government with insight into the infrastructure needs of the future. The NIC has been tasked with providing expert, impartial advice on long-term infrastructure challenges, and relies on our innovative modelling tools for simulation and analysis. It is expected to perform assessments of the UK\u2019s infrastructure every Parliament or every 5 years.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The ITRC provided a core analytical framework for their first National Infrastructure Assessment. Using the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/nismod\/\">National Infrastructure Model (NISMOD)<\/a>, our researchers are modelling the shifting demands for infrastructure services such as transport, water and energy against future changes across the UK. Likely scenarios, as well as alternatives, are tested and developed to provide estimates of where infrastructure services need to be expanded or new investments made. Analysis from the NISMOD provides the NIC and UK government with vital information on Britain\u2019s infrastructure needs and priorities.<\/p>\n<p>Some of the areas we are working on in collaboration with the NIC are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/population-employment-projections-for-the-uk\/\">population and employment growth<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/costing-and-other-implications-of-5g\/\">emerging technologies<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/nic-reviewing-englands-water-infrastructure-options\/\">water supply management<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/costing-and-other-implications-of-5g\/\">costings assessment on digital communications and 5G in the UK<\/a><\/p>\n<p>There are also 2 main assessments with UK Infrastructure, a predecessor for the NIC at the UK\u2019s HM Treasury \u2013 \u00a0we <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/critical-infrastructure-hotspot-analysis\/\">\u00a0mapped out the vulnerability hotspots in the UK\u2019s infrastructure interdependent networks<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/iuk-analysis-of-the-iuk-national-infrastructure-pipeline\/\">analysed the UK\u2019s infrastructure \u2018pipeline\u2019 of future projects, estimated at ~\u00a3500 billion over the next couple of decades<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: large;\"><strong>National Infrastructure Assessment<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>In July 2018, the NIC release the UK\u2019s first <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nic.org.uk\/publications\/national-infrastructure-assessment-2018\/\">National Infrastructure Assessment<\/a> (NIA), backed by our research and analysis.<\/p>\n<p>The NIA calls for a more joined up view of infrastructure, with significant investments to tackle road congestion, deal with water shortages and provide secure low-carbon energy supplies. The NIA proposes ways of promoting greater innovation, for example through the roll-out of 5G mobile services and the uptake of autonomous vehicles as well as reaching a 50% share of renewable energy sources by 2030.<\/p>\n<p>The NIA was underpinned by advanced modelling and analysis of scenarios of the future. This adopted methodology proposed by the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium, a consortium of seven of the UK\u2019s leading universities, led from the University of Oxford. The ITRC has developed the UK\u2019s first National Infrastructure Model (NISMOD) which was used by the National Infrastructure Commission to conduct the National Infrastructure Assessment.<\/p>\n<p>NISMOD was used to model the changing demand for infrastructure services, including transport,\u00a0 energy and water.\u00a0 Our researchers developed a baseline projection, as well as alternative scenarios, for population and employment growth in UK cities and undertook sensitivity testing for different outcomes for transport and housing infrastructure. A key finding in the Assessment, reflected in the modelling, is that transport networks are close to capacity in many UK cities already.<\/p>\n<p>Exploring options for the provision of a secure water supplies in the face of growing water use and uncertain climate changes was also an important area of work. Our analysis demonstrated that a secure water supply can be provided for Britain\u2019s future, as long as action is taken to reduce leakages, manage demand, and invest in strategic water supply infrastructure such as pipes and canals.<\/p>\n<p>Prof Jim Hall, who leads the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium, said: \u201cWe are very pleased to see the models that we have developed being taken up by the National Infrastructure Commission to conduct the National Infrastructure Assessment. NISMOD has taken us several years to develop, but it now provides a unique capability to simulate Britain\u2019s national infrastructure in the future and to inform the difficult choices that the National Infrastructure Commission is having to make.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=&#8221;1_3&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.2.2&#8243; background_enable_color=&#8221;off&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;|||&#8221; custom_padding__hover=&#8221;|||&#8221;][et_pb_testimonial author=&#8221;Prof Jim Hall&#8221; job_title=&#8221;Principal Investigator&#8221; company_name=&#8221;Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium&#8221; portrait_url=&#8221;https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/02\/Jim-Hall.jpg&#8221; quote_icon_color=&#8221;#fe6223&#8243; quote_icon_background_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; portrait_width=&#8221;130px&#8221; portrait_height=&#8221;130px&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.2.2&#8243; background_color=&#8221;rgba(0,0,0,0)&#8221; border_width_all=&#8221;1px&#8221; border_color_all=&#8221;#fe6223&#8243; border_width_bottom=&#8221;5px&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>We are very pleased to see the models that we have developed being taken up by the National Infrastructure Commission to conduct the National Infrastructure Assessment. NISMOD has taken us several years to develop, but it now provides a unique capability to simulate Britain\u2019s national infrastructure in the future and to inform the difficult choices that the National Infrastructure Commission is having to make.<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_testimonial][et_pb_blurb use_icon=&#8221;on&#8221; font_icon=&#8221;%%71%%&#8221; icon_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; use_circle=&#8221;on&#8221; icon_placement=&#8221;left&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.2.2&#8243; background_color=&#8221;#3c3c3c&#8221; background_layout=&#8221;dark&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;30px|30px|30px|30px|true|true&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>Read the full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nic.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/CCS001_CCS0618917350-001_NIC-NIA_Accessible.pdf\">National Infrastructure Assessment <\/a>(pdf, 4.4 MB)<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_blurb][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The ITRC,  provided a core analytical framework for United Kingdoms first National Infrastructure Assessment.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":33463,"template":"","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"We are working with the UK\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nic.org.uk\/\">National Infrastructure Commission (NIC)<\/a> to provide government with insight into the infrastructure needs of the future. The NIC has been tasked with providing expert, impartial advice on long-term infrastructure challenges, and relies on our innovative modelling tools for simulation and analysis. It is expected to perform assessments of the UK\u2019s infrastructure every Parliament or every 5 years.\r\n\r\nThe ITRC, \u00a0provided a core analytical framework for their first National Infrastructure Assessment. Using the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/nismod\/\">National Infrastructure Model (NISMOD)<\/a>, our researchers are modelling the shifting demands for infrastructure services such as transport, water and energy against future changes across the UK. Likely scenarios, as well as alternatives, are tested and developed to provide estimates of where infrastructure services need to be expanded or new investments made. Analysis from the NISMOD provides the NIC and UK government with vital information on Britain\u2019s infrastructure needs and priorities.\r\n\r\nSome of the areas we are working on in collaboration with the NIC are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/population-employment-projections-for-the-uk\/\">population and employment growth<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/costing-and-other-implications-of-5g\/\">emerging technologies<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/nic-reviewing-englands-water-infrastructure-options\/\">water supply management<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/costing-and-other-implications-of-5g\/\">costings assessment on digital communications and 5G in the UK<\/a>\r\n\r\nThere are also 2 main assessments with UK Infrastructure, a predecessor for the NIC at the UK\u2019s HM Treasury \u2013 \u00a0we <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/critical-infrastructure-hotspot-analysis\/\">\u00a0mapped out the vulnerability hotspots in the UK\u2019s infrastructure interdependent networks<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/iuk-analysis-of-the-iuk-national-infrastructure-pipeline\/\">analysed the UK\u2019s infrastructure \u2018pipeline\u2019 of future projects, estimated at ~\u00a3500 billion over the next couple of decades<\/a>.\r\n\r\n<strong>National Infrastructure Assessment<\/strong>\r\n\r\nIn July 2018, the NIC release the UK\u2019s first <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nic.org.uk\/publications\/national-infrastructure-assessment-2018\/\">National Infrastructure Assessment<\/a> (NIA), backed by our research and analysis.\r\n\r\nThe NIA calls for a more joined up view of infrastructure, with significant investments to tackle road congestion, deal with water shortages and provide secure low-carbon energy supplies. The NIA proposes ways of promoting greater innovation, for example through the roll-out of 5G mobile services and the uptake of autonomous vehicles as well as reaching a 50% share of renewable energy sources by 2030.\r\n\r\nThe NIA was underpinned by advanced modelling and analysis of scenarios of the future. This adopted methodology proposed by the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium, a consortium of seven of the UK\u2019s leading universities, led from the University of Oxford. The ITRC has developed the UK\u2019s first National Infrastructure Model (NISMOD) which was used by the National Infrastructure Commission to conduct the National Infrastructure Assessment.\r\n\r\nNISMOD was used to model the changing demand for infrastructure services, including transport,\u00a0 energy and water.\u00a0 Our researchers developed a baseline projection, as well as alternative scenarios, for population and employment growth in UK cities and undertook sensitivity testing for different outcomes for transport and housing infrastructure. A key finding in the Assessment, reflected in the modelling, is that transport networks are close to capacity in many UK cities already.\r\n\r\nExploring options for the provision of a secure water supplies in the face of growing water use and uncertain climate changes was also an important area of work. Our analysis demonstrated that a secure water supply can be provided for Britain\u2019s future, as long as action is taken to reduce leakages, manage demand, and invest in strategic water supply infrastructure such as pipes and canals.\r\n\r\nProf Jim Hall, who leads the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium, said: \u201cWe are very pleased to see the models that we have developed being taken up by the National Infrastructure Commission to conduct the National Infrastructure Assessment. NISMOD has taken us several years to develop, but it now provides a unique capability to simulate Britain\u2019s national infrastructure in the future and to inform the difficult choices that the National Infrastructure Commission is having to make.\u201d\r\n<ul>\r\n \t<li>Read the full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nic.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/CCS001_CCS0618917350-001_NIC-NIA_Accessible.pdf\">National Infrastructure Assessment <\/a>(pdf, 4.4 MB)<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>","_et_gb_content_width":""},"categories":[89],"areas":[66],"class_list":["post-34172","casestudies","type-casestudies","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-highlights","areas-infrastructure-systems"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/casestudies\/34172","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/casestudies"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/casestudies"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33463"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34172"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34172"},{"taxonomy":"areas","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.itrc.org.uk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/areas?post=34172"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}